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Tuesday 23 September 2014

European Independence By The Bravehearts

FPM envision European countries liberated and disbanded from recent 'monetarist' union towards forming re-newed independent national identities, and eventually forming newly grouped nation blocs, viz BRIC Bank

Witness Crimea liberated from Ukraine towards rejoining a Russian block alliance. Also, consider possibility in September 2014 of Scotland breaking away from England and that historical complex union known as the United Kingdom. This probable break-up scenario and redrawing of political and/or  socio-economic divides is perhaps reversing the recent trends towards fostered through globalisation. FPM initially provide partial anecdotal joined-up evidence to conclude that: under certain conditions de-centralisation of socio-economic  political powers is inevitable and perhaps a positive end at the turn of this milieu. The time frame for these speculated national defragmentation outcomes varies. The very quick decisive unchecked invasion and consensus formed by Russian land-grabs such as Crimea and Chechnya differs from that of  long-drawn regime-change in Afghanistan, Libya, Iraq, etc

Relevantly, capitalistic imperialism is under review in socio-economic-political regimes all over the world. Not least in the U.S.A., home of global hegemony, but where populist protests have been quashed but not as yet rescinded in human memory. Take a multi-nationally sourced cross-section of news websites or television channels to see populist or agent provocateur stirred strife bubbling over into vivid street demonstrations and protest regarding status quo factors. Protests happening all over the globe no less! More importantly, how these events are slanted as serving some national interest and literally serving an agenda with platitude propaganda to some as yet unknown Black Swan future. So the unsuspecting public are the last to understand the truth behind world events and politics affecting them and their progeny. The mismatch between reality and rhetoric via mainstream media is an intriguing political science.

FPM asks to what end are these pockets of people protests and upheavals aimed at. Protests which seemingly have coincided with the onset and ongoing global financial crisis started in 2007-08. In the not too distant past, economic crisis  has been the main catalyst for dissenting revolt against status quo establishment. Witness the grand exemplar The French Revolution of 1789-99. In a trend of globalization through  economic democracy the international grab for land and its resources is the Earth's competitive political hot kitchen of today! 

These national situations featuring military intervention is uncomfortably verging on civil wars, so not merely hot kitchen but war-torn lands.  As this this is a financial investments blog, geopolitical risks are the game-changer events for capital markets to chew over. For instance, Deutsche Bank has a team to research and analyse theses geopolitical impact on capital markets and investment strategy. Current news featuring Ukraine politics embodies geopolitical risks on a global scale affecting national interests in regards to former super-power led by Russia. FPM has propounded the capital market volatility in reading between the lines of the situation in macro strategic posts. This Ukraine crisis on the back of the European Union's financial crisis and that of its existentialism in 2011 follows too quick in human memory. That crisis was ignited through Greece's national insolvency problems. 

To be clear socio-political economics motivated protests are happening globally. Which ultimately impacts on country's economic prospects and therefore produces capital market bouts of stagnation and volatility from uncertainty and instability regarding the future. Added to the  heady mix of turbulence mentioned, FPM identify a real and pressing concern about the global ecology and climate change...

The above article was written before the Scotland Independence Referendum and is incomplete due to FPM active involvement in the YES campaign.

Posted as reflection of YES POSITIVISM and after the truly democratic yet politicised referendum of 18 Sept 2014 with a 55% to 45% win for the "NO" campaign.

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