FPM Moot-Points:

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Wednesday 29 July 2015

FPM's Macro Economic Fundamental View

FPM awarded disingenuous or mistaken journalists of the mainstream financial press "MSM Murdoch Muppets" degree and incumbent self-serving politicians pandering paymasters as reputedly "politiciansRcriminals" degree. The political economy we find now, at the turn of another new milieu, has given free field to anti-capitalism, trade unions activism and left-wing political radicalism. While we may have generalised about the character of politicians, financiers and media people - we naturally believe that their utilitarianism in an aged mature organisation of socio-economic order, ultimately carved out by politicians and legislators, calls for social and economic revolutions.

Similar to drug-testing of professional cyclists, such as at the recent Tour d'France, where the winning Sky Team (sponsored by Rupert Murdoch's media empire) are avowing full transparency to vindicate that their sponsored winner (Chris Froome) and team ARE probably drug-free; not withstanding lies of statistics! Most of the public and ex-professionals are cynical that anyone in the top-order of cyclist race finishers are NOT on drugs team (unless presumably he was Superman). Onus of proof has shifted: in cycling it is assumed you're a professional vested drug-cheat unless otherwise proven.  

Hence FPM predominantly turn to other sources for fundamental FPM's macro and markets analysis. In the “new alternative media” – NAM, which we contrast with traditional media-mogul owned / funded main stream media - MSM, we like innovative technology enabled internet sources and their breaking-the-set commentators.

Below we feature one such truth-buster, Dr Paul Craig Roberts, originally on NAM “USAWatchdog.com”. FPM discovered this alternative news media via “InvestmentWatchBlog.com”. Other NAM sources we found en route was OpenSecrets.com and PaulCraigRoberts.org. FPM have NOT exhaustively researched the independence of any of these information sources; maybe they are registered with the “Institute for Nonprofit News”. Dr Roberts’s credentials in career as a political economist are impeccable. As Assistant Treasury Secretary under President Ronald Reagan between 1981-82 he has the best perspective on World developments over the last 30 odd years to the present year 2015. Cover picture of his book below:

The public or professionals' informative value from the views of executive financiers "banksters" (or in wider industry of  CEOs and Presidents opinion) are of even less merit: as they generally are the paymasters and orchestrators of a self-serving corrupt crony capitalism. Their common interest is clearly unaligned with the proportionally bigger public at large. Yet using slick highly-paid under-the-radar PR-firms / media strategists / communications in the "dark arts"; and government lobbying to exact their bribed will in industry deregulation etc, towards ultimately lining their pockets, with trickle-down to their sycophantic cronies at expense of unsuspecting and yet trusting gullible public, we are.

FPM are not talking of systemic-wide corruption through their proverbial hats as gibberish rant! FPM principals have understood a similar broken state of capitalism leading up to and after The Great Crash 1929[1]. To validate our crony capitalism of bribes to politicians, in graphic table below we cite ONLY the bribes by the financial sector in the United States of America, referred to as Wall Street, over a roughly 10-year measurement period[2]. The financial sector invested more than US$5 bn in political influence purchasing in the United States over the last decade to 2008. Now just imagine what multiple of US$ dollars that was returned or begotten to the financial sector as payback! Absolutely a backhander or illegal payments for favours.

The Scale of Wall Street and Washinton Crony Capitalism
And now the interview discussing how the world economics and politics really does works, especially in the last 30 years or so, by someone who ought to know have been there at its instigation and observed the playout of that cycle, which is nearing its end, but not with old fashioned market volatility as we've had but with end of fossil fuels and United States Dollar debt:

[1] “The Great Crash 1929” 1954 by John Kenneth Galbraith
[2] "Sold Out - How Wall Street and Washington Betrayed America" March 2009, by Essential Information, Consumer Education Foundation, www.wallstreetwatch.org

Tuesday 21 July 2015

Is Neuberger Bergman The New Blackstone Group?

FPM’s ‘NoSmokeWithoutFire:Reputation’ propagating enterprise is researching prospective ring leader Neuberger Berman Group LLC (an independent employee-owned investment firm established in 1939) and its investment affiliates for signs of illegal capitalism. Since our illuminating investigation into insider trading by Steven A. Cohen’s eponymous SAC Capital, and involvement of Blackstone Group as its biggest investor, we have compiled public domain surveys, and presented privately commissioned ratings of an entity’s reputation by degrees. This monitoring survey is mockingly entitled 'Potential Rogues And Affiliates Trading' - as below.
The rationale for organising and connecting Neuberger Bergman – "NB" affiliate map are manifold. One rationale we look at here in depth derives from the nature and contradiction of a class of investment funds known as ‘liquid alternatives’. Namely, “Neuberger Berman Absolute Return Multi-Manager Fund” , is an approximately US$2 bn mutual fund listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange in New York. 

This NB thematic hybrid fund depicts FPM convergence demystification in the asset management industry; where returns of constituent fund managers are being arbitrated as more NB profit rather than  full investment returns, even though the stake for investment is mostly the client's money. In fact the key appeal and popularity of the liquid alternative category is for American pension savers or 401K plans. Hedge funds are not intended by nature to be liquid, but this mutual fund version is structured so; which for the next contrived manipulated market panic selling due to idiosyncratic or systemic risk, will intrinsically show appropriate losses. Woe to the pensioners and the feeding trough they really represent under crony corrupt capitalism!

Indeed like the mentioned early days of Blackstone Group, there is a private equity division of Neuberger Bergman known as Dyal Capital Partners which sponsors emerging and existing hedge funds via stakeholding. As far as we can tell there are no cross-over holdings between Dyal and the NB liquid alternative mutual fund. FPM is familiar with the co-heads of that business having worked with the team in their former guise as a Lehman Brother division. This is food for monitoring ‘Alt M&A’ transactions. This corporate finance / rain-maker / deal activity is expected to be invigorated during the cyclical ‘shake-out’ from the next capital market turbulence [of a nature and type never seen before].

Our third proposition for citing NB is their long established heraldry in US finance and industrialism, through its CEO, George H. Walker the fourth. Who is the second cousin of George W. Bush, the last US president from that American dynastic family. FPM believe there are bound to be scrutable executive connections to feed through our ©NSWF:Reputation rating of corruption in crony capitalism.

Under FPM’s trident mission statement this US$251 bn asset manager NB ticked all the boxes; with its divisions’ activities in hedge funds and private equity comprising FPM’s triumvirate application primarily in alternative investments headed simply ‘Convergence’, ‘Alt M&A’ and ‘NSWF:Reputation’. The relatively new Blackstone Group Inc was formed only 30 years ago in 1985 yet has greater assets under management - AuM, closer to US$333 bn. This juxtaposition of Blackstone with Neuberger raises question of business strategy with the meteoric growth of the former compared with the age venerable latter. 

FPM have a stuff and nonsense view of liquid alternative investments. A category with an estimated US$234 bn[1] of monies invested must have an investment rational merely for its existence. However, the terms ‘absolute return’ fused with ‘mutual fund’ is a misnomer and contradictory by their original natures, which FPM invoke as simply ‘convergence’ of traditional long-only investments with edgier fandangled branded alternative investment category i.e. hedge funds. This confusion with nomenclature is asserted to investors as liquid alternatives.

Nothing about this NB multi-manager fund is reminiscent of a fund of hedge funds and the implied premise of absolute returns. It is at first glance merely an appeasement offering, like water for chocolate, as far as investors are concerned. Don’t take our word for it, look at the price action in Yahoo chart below since launch. And if you believe the smarter investors should be institutions rather than individuals then it was reported that only 20% of the fund’s investors are institutions.

NB Absolute Return Multi-Manager Fund Performance
Additionally, the real proof of a vehicle with ‘Absolute Return’ in its name should be stellar hedge fund performance. Yet average annualized returns of 5% over its three years existence is not a significant or remarkable track record, even in an era of zero cost-of-money, and beating the average hedge fund benchmark - See table above. Veritably the tell tale signs of the multi-manager vehicle is the convergence of active management alpha-seeking strategies with passively managed beta-tracking. The real raison d’etre for this fund is the way Neuberger Bergman allocates the fund investor’s money between its hand-picked hedge fund affiliates. NB has segregated account with each of its portfolio constituent manager, and therefore has look-through potency at the portfolio companies. This has many potential alternate alpha-return interpretations, least of all of them being to reduce investors’ operational risk!

[1] Strategic Insight – New York based mutual fund research